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Aliv to 'kick on' via latest $15m raise

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Damian Blackburn

By NEIL HARTNELL

Tribune Business Editor

nhartnell@tribunemedia.net

Aliv’s top executive last night said it was “very confident” of hitting its latest $15m capital raising target as it bids “to kick on to the next level” of its growth strategy.

Damian Blackburn told Tribune Business that the latest financing will provide the mobile operator with sufficient capital to enable it to “hit the next milestone” beyond the positive EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxation, depreciation and amortisation) position it is targeting for the 2019 calendar year.

Disclosing that Aliv was now “very close” to generating enough cash flow to cover all its operating expenses, including the “acquisition” of new customers and market share, Mr Blackburn said the next goal is for the business to be able to cover its network investment and financing costs from internal resources.

The $15m, which has been raised from the issuance of preference shares via a private placement to select institutions and high net worth investors, will thus give Aliv the funding base to meet its capital and financing costs until it achieves the latter objective.

Mr Blackburn also moved to ease capital markets concerns that Aliv is taking on too much debt financing, telling this newspaper that the mobile operator’s capital structure is “appropriate” for the business and constantly reviewed to ensure it is “optimal” for each growth phase it passes through.

He added that the $15m raising, which closed at the end of last week, completes the issuance of Aliv’s $70m in authorised preference share capital. The $55m balance was previously placed with Bahamas-based investors in 2018.

“We’re in the process of finalising it, and we’re very confident that we’ll get the $15m done,” Mr Blackburn confirmed to Tribune Business of the latest capital raise. “We raised $55m from the last preference share issue, and were authorised to raise $70m.

“We’ve been keeping our ear close to the market, and decided it was time to go back to it... We’ve obviously moved on. We’re getting closer to EBITDA positive and operating cash flow break even, still investing in the network and customer acquisition, and then there’s our financing obligation. Until we hit the next milestone, the business still needs financing.”

Aliv is set to achieve a positive EBITDA position within three years of its November 2016 launch, a timeline well within industry norms as most mobile start-ups take between two to five years to achieve this.

Mr Blackburn last night explained that “the next milestone” referred to Aliv being able to pay its capital and financing costs from its own operating cash flows, with the latest capital raise ensuring it has the financial wherewithal to cover these expenses until that goal is hit.

“We’ve said we will hit EBITDA positive this calendar year, which we are confident of doing and very close to,” he told Tribune Business. “That means we will have sufficient cash flow to cover our operating needs including customer acquisition costs.

“We still have to finance a little bit more network investment, and generate sufficient cash that services our financing obligations. The financial milestone we are focused on is EBITDA positive, we are making great progress, will definitely get there in 2019, and the next milestone will be growing further to finance capital investment and the cost of financing.”

Aliv is 48.25 percent owned by Cable Bahamas, which has Board and management control at the mobile operator. A significant number of the BISX-listed communications provider’s shareholders have become uncomfortable about the near-$400m debt currently sitting on its balance sheet as a result of the need to finance its mobile and US expansions.

Aliv’s own capital needs are now inching close to $300m, inclusive of the $136m in start-up financing provided by Cable Bahamas and its other shareholder, the Government, but Mr Blackburn yesterday reassured that there was no cause for market alarm.

Revealing that Aliv’s subscriber base has now hit 150,000 customers based on a 60-day subscriber ‘churn’ cycle, he said: “We have a very clear handle on our plan and what we need to do. We’ve taken a debt level for the business that we think is appropriate given its needs and where we will grow to in the future.

“We’re keeping a very close eye on making sure we get that structure right. We constantly review with our shareholders what is the appropriate capital structure for the business, and it will be optimised as we go through different phases.”

Mr Blackburn emphasised: “We’re in that step of finishing this preference share raise and are looking at the optimal balance sheet structure. As we’re going through the different phases we need different structures to the business.

“Getting $15m raised from the preference shares is the right step now, and we will look at the balance sheet structure over the next 12 months to assess the right position for secured debt and unsecured debt.”

Mr Blackburn said Aliv had enjoyed “a great year”, adding: “In the last 12 months we’ve been generating market share in a lot of new segments of the market, and the results showing that return are coming through now as we’ve added all these customers.

“We’re very happy with where we are right now in terms of customer growth, but need to kick on now and have the right financing structure to take us to the next level.”

Comments

DonAnthony 5 years, 5 months ago

“A significant number of the BISX-listed communications provider’s shareholders have become uncomfortable about the near-$400m debt currently sitting on its balance sheet as a result of the need to finance its mobile and US expansions.”

Cable’s debt is not near $400m, in just long term debt and preference shares it is now $442m not to mention current liabilities. This company is grossly over leveraged and it is hard to see how this debt will ever be repaid. As for Aliv it keeps coming back for more debt after promising it would not need to. This whole article seems like more spin from management and it has been going on for years.

ThisIsOurs 5 years, 5 months ago

I wonder...I'm not a finance person ..but I wonder if their high risk strategy will pay off. BTC is the lumbering giant and Aliv is the speedy rabbit...who will survive? It's hard for me to tell. But I would put my money on Aliv, if there are no significant changes in the environment over the next 20 years the gamble may not pay off but if there is an almost impossible to avoid tetonic shift in the technological environment...i think BTC will be caught out. They are not innovating fast enough. Who knows, the Bahamas may no longer be their focus.

DonAnthony 5 years, 5 months ago

You may be right and Aliv will win but most assuredly it will be a Pyrrhic victory. They have achieved market share but at what cost? Aliv is gaining more of an ever shrinking telecommunications pie. Cutthroat competition and rapid technological changes have seen to that. WhatsApp has eroded profitability as voice revenue has gone to zero. Aliv’s problem is that ARPU average revenue per unit (subscriber) is falling far below expectations and a level necessary to be profitable. It is hard to see how they get this to increase in a meaningful way. Will customers suddenly have a need to pay more for services each month? So yes they will be profitable eventually but very likely only marginally so with the bulk of profits simply servicing an onerous legacy debt. And then even if they can manage to service this debt there will inevitably be further capital raises to finance the build out of 5G and beyond. That is the peril of being in a capital intensive industry with rapid technological changes. It is clear this second cellular license is not nearly as valuable as once thought. Surprisingly most shareholders have not realized this yet.

ThisIsOurs 5 years, 5 months ago

And that is where I think BTC'S mistake is. In my eyes Aliv is no longer a mobile provider. I see a company using the mobile network as a foundation for innovation. To compete, BTC needs to innovate and for some inexplicable reason theyre not doing it, zero, zilch, nada. Theyre focused on mobile subscriber numbers alone, with that strategy when the next technological innovation arrives they'll be holding a mobile phone, dead in the water. Aliv will be able to adapt.

But again I'm not a finance person, if at some point no one wants to give them money to continue i guess BTC wins.

realitycheck242 5 years, 5 months ago

Since Aliv is already onboard with Hauwei. Their transition to 5G will be much more cost effective as compared to BTC . Every technology they are installing during the build out of their network is in preparation for the next big innovative upgrade to 5G . Having Hauwei as a partner (the world leader in 5G technology that even Trump and America is affraid of because they are eating US 5G companies lunch) Will mean they will leap frog BTC shortly and hopefully their financials will significantly turn around and the share holders will see some profits as they pay down a substantial portion of their depth. I would put my money on Aliv compared to BTC anyday. .

banker 5 years, 5 months ago

Cable Bahamas (shareholder of ALIV) is a rogue, and almost criminal organisation. The US acquisitions were nothing but ruse to extract money out of the company in American dollars. They paid over a hundred million dollars for two entities that were not worth a tenth of that. However it was a nifty scheme to buy two moribund US companies under several corporate vehicles, and sell them at highly inflated prices to Cable Bahamas. It borders on wire fraud and racketeering but since nobody cares in the Bahamas and the regulator is a paper tiger, it's anything goes. Karma is a bitch and it killed Phil Keeping the original mastermind, but now they are running rampant with no oversight and they have taken huge amounts of money out of the BAHAMAS.

ThisIsOurs 5 years, 5 months ago

But how much money is BTC sending out the country to the parent under the guise of payment for services? We're being screwed either way

TheMadHatter 5 years, 5 months ago

"..The $15m, which has been raised from the issuance of preference shares via a private placement to select institutions and high net worth investors"

This is ALWAYS the case. Only SELECT institutions, or HIGH net worth people. Ordinary Bahamians? Want to buy $100 worth of Aliv shares? Too bad for you. You don't count. You have no opportunity to advance in your pathetic life. But keep buying minutes from us though, we will take your meager $10 and add it to our collection.

They could probably get people like me to switch to Aliv if they would make a corporate promise on their website that they will NEVER add 1. for English 2. for Creole 3. for Spanish like how BTC has. I have called them, and they will not commit to this, so I see no reason to switch from BTC. I will just keep pressing my 1 for English.

As always, if you are an ordinary Bahamian that speaks English in this country, dog ate your lunch.

DonAnthony 5 years, 5 months ago

It is an exclusive club... and you ain’t invited.😁

observer2 5 years, 5 months ago

Don Anthony, it ain't exclusive, some of dat money has been invested by financial institutions in mutual funds owned by da general public. Some mutual funds have +30% exposure to Cable and REV bonds. If sometin happen i feel sorry for da poor ppls dem.

observer2 5 years, 5 months ago

dey issue $54 million of preference shares last year. dey mussy issue dem to pay da interest to da ppl who lend dem $400 million.

http://tribune242.com/users/photos/2019…

John 5 years, 4 months ago

Revealing that Aliv’s subscriber base has now hit 150,000 customers based on a 60-day subscriber ‘churn’ cycle, he said: “We have a very clear handle on our plan and what we need to do. We’ve taken a debt level for the business that we think is appropriate given its needs and where we will grow to in the future.

Simply put, customer churn occurs when customers or subscribers stop doing business with a company or service. Also known as customer attrition, customer churn is a critical metric because it is much less expensive to retain existing customers than it is to acquire new customers – earning business from new customers means working leads all the way through the sales funnel, utilizing your marketing and sales resources throughout the process. Customer retention, on the other hand, is generally more cost-effective as you’ve already earned the trust and loyalty of existing customers.

So basically Aliv's strategy is to recycle customers rather than to gain them permanently. So they give away the handsets and the bonus minutes and data to churn revenue. But what happens when this strategy gets played out. will customers return home to BTC? Of course since Aliv was the new kid on the block, it was easier for them to attract new customers. Young people like new and they like excitement

John 5 years, 4 months ago

Both Aliv and BTC have outsourced their Top Up services to companies outside the Bahamas. A service that was previously done by Bahamians. So the funds have t be deposited directly into the banks and the bulk of this money leaves the country. Bahamians are only involved on the retail end where they get 6 cents on the dollar. If the Top-Up goes to a wrong number those funds are taken out of the retailer's bucket. This may sound trivial but sometimes a top-up of say $50.00 may be sent. It goes to a number that is not in services and both providers will not reverse the transaction. So they benefit by $50.00 while the retailer loses out.

banker 5 years, 4 months ago

Actually not. Leon Williams was dismissed from BTC because he was on the take from an LA-based company for top-ups for BTC. The LA company did all of the work for BTC and gave kickbacks.

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